CEO Morning Brief

Bitcoin Tests US$100,000 After Fed Spurs Worst Drop Since September

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Publish date: Fri, 20 Dec 2024, 08:49 PM
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TheEdge CEO Morning Brief

(Dec 19): Bitcoin briefly sank below US$100,000 (RM450,441) as the US Federal Reserve’s cautious outlook for interest-rate cuts hurt speculative investments.

The largest digital asset hit US$98,760 at one point on Thursday — about US$10,000 shy of the record high set earlier this week — before retaking the six-figure level. Tokens such as ether and meme-crowd favourite dogecoin also struggled.

Fed officials lowered borrowing costs for a third straight time, but reined in the number of reductions they expect in 2025. Fed chair Jerome Powell said more progress is needed on inflation before further loosening monetary policy.

The result of the Fed meeting shouldn’t have surprised investors watching “the recent run of warm US inflation and activity data,” IG Australia Pty Ltd market analyst Tony Sycamore wrote in a note. “However, it has served as the catalyst to wash away some of the speculative excesses that flowed into risk assets, including stocks and bitcoin, following the US election,” he said.

The Fed decision lifted a dollar gauge, while weighing on global stocks and bonds. A spat over a funding bill added to nerves by raising the risk of a partial US government shutdown. US equity futures wavered on Thursday.

Bitcoin is up roughly 50% since the US vote on Nov 5, buoyed by President-elect Donald Trump’s vow to unfetter crypto from regulatory shackles. The Republican has also backed the idea of creating a national stockpile of the token.

“All signs point to a good floor and outlook for bitcoin”, even if some traders were disappointed about the Fed meeting and took profits, said Paul Veradittakit, a managing partner at Pantera Capital.

Trump’s embrace of crypto has overshadowed warnings about stretched momentum and the lack of any traditional valuation tethers. US President Joe Biden’s outgoing administration imposed a clampdown on the industry, in the wake of a market rout in 2022 that exposed risky practices and fraud.

Sean McNulty, director of trading at liquidity provider Arbelos Markets, reported a post-Fed pick up in demand for options to hedge against bitcoin declines. A retreat into the low US$90,000s is possible for a very short period, according to Zann Kwan, chief investment officer at the Revo Digital Family Office.

Bitcoin changed hands at US$101,280 as of 5:52am on Thursday in London.

Uploaded by Liza Shireen Koshy

Source: TheEdge - 20 Dec 2024

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