Where Futures Lies
Daily Futures Trading Strategy 14 August 2020
FUTURESCOIN IS GOING GLOBAL
WTI Crude, Gold, HSI, Dow, S&P 500 and Nasdaq
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E-Mini Dow
The S&P 500 and Dow ended slightly lower on Thursday after briefly trading above its record closing high level for a second day amid a disappointing forecast from Cisco Systems Inc.
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Plan A : Attempt long if market trades firmly above 27824. Targets are 27933 and 28070.
Plan B : Cut below 27710.
Plan C : Attempt short if market fails to hold above 27824. Targets are 27630 and 27590.
Plan D : Cut above 27910.
E-Mini S&P 500
The Dow slid 80.12 points, or 0.3%, to close at 27,896.72. The S&P 500 dropped 0.2% to 3,373.43. The Nasdaq Composite added 0.3% to end the day at 11,042.50. The S&P 500 failed to break above its all-time high once again despite stronger-than-expected unemployment data.
The S&P closed the regular session Thursday down 0.2%. Earlier in the day, it briefly traded above its record closing high of 3,386.15. The gyrations between gains and losses through the day came as tech shares outperformed while names that would benefit from the economy reopening struggled.
If the S&P 500 breaks out for a fresh record, it would be the index’s fastest recovery from a 30% drop in its history, according to data compiled by Ned Davis Research.
Initial U.S. weekly jobless claims fell to 963,000, the Labor Department said. That’s below a Dow Jones estimate of 1.1 million. It was also the first time since March that jobless claims came in below 1 million. Thursday’s data was the latest indication of an improving labor market. To be sure, investors continued to keep a watchful eye on Washington, where the nation’s top lawmakers continue to haggle over a new coronavirus-relief package for American households and businesses.
Shares of Cisco Systems dropped 11% after the tech company issued weaker-than-expected earnings guidance for the current quarter. United Airlines, Delta and American all fell more than 1%.
Retail sales and consumer sentiment are among the economic numbers set for release on Friday.
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Plan A : Short if market failed to support above 3340.25. Targets are 3312.25, 3290.50 and 3250.25.
Plan B : Long only if market doesn't retrace much and supported firm above 3340.25. Targets are 3357.25, 3369.25 and 3390.50.
E-Mini Nasdaq
U.S. stock futures rose slightly early Friday morning after the S&P 500 failed once again to reach its record high from February.
Dow Jones Industrial Average futures were up 82 points at 2:18 a.m. ET, pointing to opening gains of around 85.28 points on Friday. S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100 futures also traded up.
Facebook, Netflix and Alphabet all closed higher and Apple rallied to an all-time high. Meanwhile, Gap and American Airlines both fell at least 1.8%. JPMorgan Chase slid 0.6%.
To be sure, sentiment was kept in check as lawmakers seem unable to move forward with a coronavirus stimulus bill.
House Speaker Nancy Pelosi, D-Calif., has said she will not restart talks with Republicans on the matter until they increase theiraid offer by $1 trillion. White House economic advisor Larry Kudlow also told CNBC’s that the administration and Democrats were at a “stalemate.”
“Given the current fiscal stalemate, it is extremely unlikely that consumers receive any additional fiscal support in August. Needless to say, the outlook for September is highly dependent on fiscal policy,” said Aneta Markowska, chief economist at Jefferies, in a note.
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Plan A : Short if market failed to support above 11055.50. Targets are 11002.25, 10975.25 and 10900.50.
Plan B : Long if market doesn't retrace much and supported firm above 11055.50. Targets are 11080.25, 11102.25 and 11160.50.
HSI
Hong Kong shares closed flat on Thursday as caution prevailed ahead of a crucial U.S.-China meeting this weekend to discuss the progress of the bilateral trade deal.
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Plan A : Attempt short if market does not breach above 25280. Targets are 25130 and 25030. Cut above 25330.
Plan B : Consider long if market trades firmly above 25030. Targets are 25130 and 25280. Cut below 24980.
WTI Crude
Oil prices eased on Thursday after the International Energy Agency lowered its 2020 oil demand forecast following unprecedented travel restrictions, but resilience in equities markets and a weak dollar limited losses.
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Plan A : Remain buy as long as oil price stays above 41.6
Plan B : Exit below 41.0
Plan C : Consider selling if oil price surges but fails to breach above 42.6
Plan D : Cut above 43.0
Gold
Gold jumped as much as 2.5% on Thursday, rebounding from a near three-week low hit in the last session, as the dollar dipped and a slow recovery in the U.S. labor market reinforced the economic toll from the coronavirus pandemic.
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Plan A : Remain sell as long as gold price stays below 1967
Plan B : Exit above 1974
Plan C : Consider buying if gold price firm its price above 1906
Plan D : Cut below 1899
Disclaimer: This information is intended to assist professional investors. News are credit courtesy of Reuters, Nasdaq.com, Bloomberg, CNN, Market Watch, FT.com, the Star online, forbes.com and CNBC. The information does not constitute investment advice or an offer to invest or to provide management services and is subject to correctaysion, completion and amendment without notice.As with all investments, there are associated risks and you could lose money investing. Prior to making any investment, a prospective investor should consult with its own investment, accounting, legal and tax advisers to evaluate independently the risks, consequences and suitability of that investment.
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Ride The Bull Short The Bear
CS Tan
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This book is the result of the author's many years of experience and observation throughout his 26 years in the stockbroking industry. It was written for general public to learn to invest based on facts and not on fantasies or hearsay....
