sammofee

next tesla ? hmm. lets see how it goes. Will update my percentage in a years time.

2021-11-30 09:45

Desmund

sure or not

2021-12-26 21:15

Raymond6918

Rivian自去年11月上市股价到达巅峰以来，已经下跌了78%，分析师认为其受到市场追捧的好日子或已经一去不复返。

Rivian去年11月上市后，这个电动汽车宠儿立刻受到市场的追捧，在上市后的头几周内股价飙升。但这样的好日子已经一去不复返了，这个新型电动汽车品牌的忠实拥趸已经为市场情绪的巨大转变付出了代价。

Rivian股票不仅受到了增长放缓的影响，还受到了其他具体问题的影响。这些因素包括过度乐观的预期、产量上升和供应商问题。

结果是，自去年11月的巅峰以来，该股已经下跌了78%；这些数据是在该公司首次公开募股(IPO)几周后发生的。

上周，在21季度财报发布后，受创的股价也没有得到任何喘息的机会。

但更重要的是，受到供应链问题的困扰，这家初创公司前景黯淡。

半导体、线束和电子行业的瓶颈问题，这些都是该公司将2022年产量预测下调一半的原因。Rivian预计今年将交付2.5万辆汽车。这与加拿大皇家银行(RBC)的Joseph Spak最近的预测大致一致，这位分析师认为，华尔街总体上认为交付量在低于3万的区间内。

不过，这位分析师认为，该公司可能会采取保守路线，为“前景提供一些缓冲”。

无论如何，考虑到长期的影响，Spak认为这个问题可以忽略不计，并相信公司仍有望成功。然而，在此期间，投资者可能需要保持坚韧。

“事实是，交付量几千的误差应该不会对投资有太大影响，”这位分析师说。“Rivian需要公布生产进度，重建投资者信心。Rivian有一个非常雄心勃勃的计划，这可能需要时间。但我们认为，对于有耐心的投资者来说，目前的风险/回报水平非常诱人。”

为此，Spak坚持他对Rivian的跑赢大市评级(即买入)，尽管他将目标价从116美元降至100美元。尽管如此，这个新的价格目标仍然可以产生170%的巨大回报。

但多数分析师仍站在Rivian一边，但并非所有人都赞同上述观点。根据9个买入和5个持有评级，该股获得了适度买入的一致评级。然而，该股的平均目标价仍然是乐观的；以每股76.5美元的价格计算，这一数字表明，未来一年该股股价可能会上涨107%。

2022-03-21 07:50

Wong137

RBC analyst Joseph Spak has reflected positively on Rivian's (RIVN) production ramp efforts.

The analyst said he is more confident in his Q1 delivery forecasts of 2,100 units and sees scope for upside. RBCs data shows an improving production ramp, Spak said in a client note.

Earlier this month, Rivian suggested they produced 1,410 vehicles in 2022 but said that in recent weeks the average weekly production rate was practically doubled to Q421 numbers.

RBC estimates the weekly production of around 320 vehicles per week. This implies a Q122 production level of ~2.37k.

We note that Visible Alpha consensus 1Q22 deliveries is 1.5k (but based on only 7 inputs). We forecast 1Q22 production is closer to the 2.4k level but assume that ~1 week of production is in transit, Spak added.

The analyst also weighed in on the massive selloff in Rivian shares.

The bar has been reset, we continue to have faith in management, the product, the business plan and the go-to-market strategy. We also believe Rivian is thinking thoughtfully about the entire value chain and how that needs to evolve (down and upstream). The near-term risk is supply chain, but we believe management contemplated the risks in their revised outlook. We view current levels as an attractive entry point for long-term holders. Tactically, as shown above, we may start to get more positive data points. Hitting near-term expectations can lead investors to gain more confidence in outer-year potential. And the valuation looks relatively attractive with an interesting risk/reward, Spak added.

By Senad Karaahmetovic

2022-03-30 09:09